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Crypto Derivatives 13 February 2025

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Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.

In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.

A near-two week long period of choppy, sideways spot price action has taken its toll on derivatives markets. Futures yields have trended down to their lowest levels of 2025, while BTC’s funding rate remains far below the highs of mid-January. ETH’s funding rate shot sharply negative during the Feb 3 selloff, and has since traded at a neutral level. Short tenor volatility smiles, having remained skewed firmly towards OTM puts since that same selloff, have recently changed course and now price OTM calls at a volatility premium.

ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor

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BTC Options

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BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility

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BTC’s term structure is distinctly steep, in contrast to ETH’s stubbornly flat shape.

BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal

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A recovery in sentiment over the last 24H sees BTC’s short-tenor volatility smiles skew towards OTM calls once again.

ETH Options

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ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility

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While not inverting to the same extremes, ETH’s term structure stays flat over the past week.

ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal

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Short tenor volatility smiles have skewed back towards OTM calls after a week of dismal sentiment.

Market Composite Volatility Surface

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Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles

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Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles

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The information provided in this document by Block Scholes Ltd is for informational purposes only and does not necessarily represent the views of OKX. Any additional disclaimers issued by these third parties are also applicable and should be considered as part of this document.

This report is not intended as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of specific trading strategies. The contents of this report, including but not limited to any graphs, charts, and numerical data, are provided “as is” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. The warranties disclaimed include but are not limited to performance, merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, accuracy, omissions, completeness, currentness, and delays.

The cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable, subject to substantial market risks including significant price fluctuations. The strategies, opinions, and analyses included are based on information available at the time of writing and may change without notice. They are also based on certain assumptions and historical data that may not be accurate or applicable in the future. Therefore, reliance on this report for the purpose of making investment decisions is at your own risk.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any data or information contained in this report. We are not responsible for any losses or damages arising from the use of this report, including but not limited to, lost profits or investment losses.

Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The inclusion of any specific cryptocurrencies or trading strategies does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation by OKX.

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